Sebastian Koch

Sebastian Koch leads Polaris’s Geopolitical Risk practice, specializing in forecasting political instability and its market implications. Holding a Master’s in International Security from Sciences Po Paris, Sebastian’s career began at the European Council on Foreign Relations, where he authored influential briefs on EU-Russia relations. He later spent five years as a senior analyst at a leading risk consultancy in Berlin, focusing on energy security in Eastern Europe and the Middle East. Fluent in German, English, and Russian, Sebastian is adept at conducting on-the-ground assessments and engaging with local sources. His expertise is in modeling scenario outcomes for political events—from elections to sanctions regimes—providing clients with a clear-eyes view of potential disruptions to their investments and operations.